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More Spin From RSB

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Old 11-30-2008 | 06:50 PM
  #91  
RSB
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There are a few other post on here that I need to address but it is going to have to wait until there is break in the hunting seasons.

I am just too busy right now to keep up with the message boards.

I am sure some of the guys that don’t spend much time in the field hunting will have a ball posting nonsense while the real hunters and I are busy hunting or working.

Anyway, everyone be careful out there, have a safe and enjoyable deer season.

R.S. Bodenhorn
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Old 11-30-2008 | 07:12 PM
  #92  
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Some of your predictions did come to pass but certainly not all of them and the ones that did come true were only because the back to back harsh winters caused the deer herd to crash in several areas of the state.
No, all of my predictions came true while you were batting zero and the harsh winters were not the reason my predictions came true. The goal was to reduce the herd by 50% and that is what I used to formulate my predictions.
You got the first sentence correct but then you ended up blowing it from that point on. Though it is uncertain just how much more the deer mortality was then recruitment in some of the poor habitat areas of the state it was very obvious that the recruitment was not keeping up with the mortality. Hunters in unit 2G have harvested and average of only four deer per square mile for the past five years.

You truly are amazing. Apparently you don't even realize that the PGC is responsible for controlling the harvested based on recruitment, instead of the deer increasing recruitment to make up for increased harvests due to high anterless allocations.
The unit that includes the city streets of Pittsburgh has averaged over fourteen deer harvested per square mile during the past five years. How can the recruitment keep up there at those harvests while in unit 2G the harvests have never been higher then eight total deer per square mile for more then a few years out the past twenty? Why is they can sustain deer harvests on our city street that two to five times as high as out remote forested areas consistently year after year for over fifteen years if it isn’t habitat related?
Simply because the harvests didn't exceed recruitment and in many cases were less than recruitment so the herd increased.
Your arguments that high harvests reduced the big woods deer populations don’t make sense because that contention simply isn’t supported by the facts and you claiming other wise isn’t going to change those facts
Once again you are contradicting the experts from the PGC that stated the goal of the increased antlerless harvests was to reduce the herd and that data you and the PGC provided shows that is what happened. But, since it doesn't fit your agenda and you can't overcome your bias , you have to blame the weather for reducing the herd.
The only place Doctor Alt failed was by not starting this deer management program ten years earlier. If he had we would have a lot more deer today in these habitat damaged areas that presently have few deer. Hopefully the professionals can keep the present deer management program in tact and on track into the future so we don’t end up with even more areas of damaged habitat and naturally declining deer populations.
Herd reduction began in 1988 when bonus tags and increased allocation reduced the herd by 15% and I provided the quote that proved that was true. Furthermore, there was no significant increase in the herd from 1988 through 1998. From 2000 to 2007 harvests that exceeded recruitment reduced our herd by over 600,000 deer and none of that reduction was due to poor habitat or harsh winters.



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Old 11-30-2008 | 07:14 PM
  #93  
Giant Nontypical
 
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Default RE: More Spin From RSB

ORIGINAL: RSB

Actually it was quite easy to deuce what the outcome would be as the herd was reduced by 50%. All one had to do is look at the history of the herd and harvests to predict the outcome, since it was simply impossible for increased breeding rates and recruitment to compensate for the loss of a significant percentage of the adult doe. That is why Alt's and RSB's predictions were wrong and my predictions were right. They told hunters what they wanted to hear while I based my predictions on the facts and reality.
Some of your predictions did come to pass but certainly not all of them and the ones that did come true were only because the back to back harsh winters caused the deer herd to crash in several areas of the state.

Your predictions came true because of unforeseen natural events instead of because you were correct about what would occur when you made the predictions.

I certainly don’t know where you got the idea that Doctor Alt was telling people what they wanted to hear. He flat out told them there would be fewer deer. That was the largest part of his message. Even knowing that the majority of the hunters that attended the seminars agreed with moving in that direction because they knew it was the correct thing to do for the best possible future. Believe me it can get a lot worse and it still might if people like you get their way.

When populations exceed the carrying capacity breeding rates and recruitment decrease and natural mortality equals recruitment. That didn't happen in PA and didn't even come close to happening. So maybe it is you that needs to read a few more studies.
You got the first sentence correct but then you ended up blowing it from that point on. Though it is uncertain just how much more the deer mortality was then recruitment in some of the poor habitat areas of the state it was very obvious that the recruitment was not keeping up with the mortality. Hunters in unit 2G have harvested and average of only four deer per square mile for the past five years.

The unit that includes the city streets of Pittsburgh has averaged over fourteen deer harvested per square mile during the past five years. How can the recruitment keep up there at those harvests while in unit 2G the harvests have never been higher then eight total deer per square mile for more then a few years out the past twenty? Why is they can sustain deer harvests on our city street that two to five times as high as out remote forested areas consistently year after year for over fifteen years if it isn’t habitat related?

Your arguments that high harvests reduced the big woods deer populations don’t make sense because that contention simply isn’t supported by the facts and you claiming other wise isn’t going to change those facts.

It is all about having over protected the deer and under protected the deer food supply for way to long in the places that have few deer today.

The only place Doctor Alt failed was by not starting this deer management program ten years earlier. If he had we would have a lot more deer today in these habitat damaged areas that presently have few deer. Hopefully the professionals can keep the present deer management program in tact and on track into the future so we don’t end up with even more areas of damaged habitat and naturally declining deer populations.

R.S. Bodenhorn
dr.alt told hunters not to shoot a FAWN, what do hunters do, THEY SHOOT FAWNS.

i dont believe we would have more deer if he did it earlier.

as long as all these tags were issued where you could get 1 buck and 4 doea few years ago,no way deer would come back.

i see your point on HABITAT ,i dont think anyone says things are good for deer but if the DCNR is not going to cut trees or burn, no way pgc is going to let deer come back .

my problem with all of this was all tags issued.

this was way to get deer killed quick.

your pint is if habitat gets better, then we will have deer, no way.

as long as tags are issued,long 2 week doe season which is 1 now, early oct in-line/rifle season and throw in all coyotes that ARE killing fawns, penn state says bears too, SPROUL says COYOTES.

I CANT SEE THINGS IMPROVING ON NUMBERS OF DEER EVEN IF HABITAT IS GOOD.

i have 3 bucks, 3 doe and 2 fawns in my yard..

why, because i dont allow hunting even tho they try to shoot them out window of car with a crossbow which i caught them last year at 2 am.[:@]

if you have place for deer to hide safely like pittsburgh, you will have deer.

my food in my yard is no different than food at the farm at road hollow in kettle creek.

yet, his farm has NO FAWNS,i wonder why.

its coyotes/bears/and the no. 1 predator,the FAWN HUNTER.
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Old 12-01-2008 | 03:56 PM
  #94  
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Default RE: More Spin From RSB

Remnard, outstanding post!!
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Old 12-01-2008 | 04:35 PM
  #95  
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Here is what Chris Rosenbery (CR) had to say about the reason the herd was reduced.
CR: Deer numbers have come down in areas as a result of antlerless allocations. Many folks blame the 12-day concurrent season for that. This study will give us data on the effect of changing season lengths on antlerless harvest.
Note, he said nothing about reduced recruitment due to severe winters.

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Old 12-02-2008 | 05:10 PM
  #96  
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Default RE: More Spin From RSB

ORIGINAL: sproulman

problem is now, the FAWNS are being killed in great numbers by COYOTES.

i only saw 2 fawns here in western clinton county this year
If that is indeed the case I would think the buck doe ratio is worse than you think. When the buck doe ratio is skewed, there are typically not enough bucks to breed all the does. When this occurs the does will come back in to estrus 28 days later and do that for several months until they are bred. This phenomenon causes the fawn births to be staggered. What happens is the coyotes have a constant supply of fawns for several months. In properly balanced ratios the fawns are dropped almost all at once. This keeps many fawns from being predated upon because they get their legs rather quickly and can typically avoid predation after a few weeks. There's only so many coyotes out there, and they won't kill deer for fun, so they only take what they need by and large. Anothe good indicator is still seeing fawns in october or november with spots. This indicates a late birth also. Fawns need a body weight of 60 pounds going in to winter or they risk survival over that first winter.

Another revelation was how many were taken by black bears. In PA I would think that would be the case also seeing how there's a black bear behind every tree!!.
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Old 12-02-2008 | 05:12 PM
  #97  
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ORIGINAL: mlo31351270

Remnard, outstanding post!!
Thanks MLO.
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Old 12-02-2008 | 05:19 PM
  #98  
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Default RE: More Spin From RSB

ORIGINAL: bluebird2

This was never about trophy hunting, but buck doe ratio. Do you ever wonder why you walk through the woods and see very little scraping and rubbing activity? There is no need for it in many areas of the country as the bucks have too many does to breed now. They don't need to advertise. That is a sure sign of a skewed buck doe ratio.
Our B/D ratio was 1:2.1 or better before Alt was appointed. Now,according to Dr. Rosenberry says our B/D ratio is a little better than 1:2. Alt lied about our B/D ratio being skewed and used it to get hunters to shoot more doe.
Habitat is indeed a limiting factor in deer herd size. If you look at the understory in your wood lot you will see the browse line, where the deer have eaten as high as they can reach, standing on their hind leg
Habitat can in fact be a limiting factor in herd size, but it was not the limiting factor in PS or we wouldn't have had to kill all those doe to reduce the herd. If habitat was the limiting factor breeding rates and recruitment would have increased as the herd was reduced, but breeing rates and productivity decreased.

You are dealing with theories and I am dealing with the facts provided by the deer in PA.
Not so. The damage done by the herd actually limited the herds recoupment due to the devestation of the understory. Look up the kaibob plateau to fully understand what a deer herd can do to decimate a habitat.

As far as dealing with theories, I would beg to differ. I have been studying whitetail ecology and habitat enhancement since long before you knew what it was. I have been studying this stuff for close to thirty years now.
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Old 12-02-2008 | 06:30 PM
  #99  
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Not so. The damage done by the herd actually limited the herds recoupment due to the devestation of the understory. Look up the kaibob plateau to fully understand what a deer herd can do to decimate a habitat.
I am quite familiar with the Kaibob Plateau report and i fully agree that deer can devastate their habitat. But , unlike you, I am quite familiar with the history of our herd in the NC part of our state and it tells different story than the one you are selling. Over browsing began in the NC counties in the 20s and 30s, yet the herd increased to over 40 DPSM in the late 70's. Then, a severe ice storm reduced the herd , but by the late 80s the herd had rebounded to around 30DPSM and the PGC implemented bonus tags to control the herd. That does not happen when the habitat has been severly damaged and the herd is above the MSY carrying capacity.
As far as dealing with theories, I would beg to differ. I have been studying whitetail ecology and habitat enhancement since long before you knew what it was. I have been studying this stuff for close to thirty years now.
It is highly presumptuous for you to make that claim when you have no idea who I am or what my background might be. The fact is I have been studying whitetail ecology and the relationship of deer to their habitat for over 50 years. I can cite chapter and verse of deer management in PA to a point that will make your head spin.

Are you familiar with the Brady Lake Browse Study, the 1984 " Clearcut Update" the 2006 DCNr ,"Browse Impact study" or the studies by David Declasta?

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Old 12-02-2008 | 06:38 PM
  #100  
Giant Nontypical
 
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From: PA.
Default RE: More Spin From RSB

[:@]
ORIGINAL: Remnard

ORIGINAL: sproulman

problem is now, the FAWNS are being killed in great numbers by COYOTES.

i only saw 2 fawns here in western clinton county this year
If that is indeed the case I would think the buck doe ratio is worse than you think. When the buck doe ratio is skewed, there are typically not enough bucks to breed all the does. When this occurs the does will come back in to estrus 28 days later and do that for several months until they are bred. This phenomenon causes the fawn births to be staggered. What happens is the coyotes have a constant supply of fawns for several months. In properly balanced ratios the fawns are dropped almost all at once. This keeps many fawns from being predated upon because they get their legs rather quickly and can typically avoid predation after a few weeks. There's only so many coyotes out there, and they won't kill deer for fun, so they only take what they need by and large. Anothe good indicator is still seeing fawns in october or november with spots. This indicates a late birth also. Fawns need a body weight of 60 pounds going in to winter or they risk survival over that first winter.

Another revelation was how many were taken by black bears. In PA I would think that would be the case also seeing how there's a black bear behind every tree!!.
there is a guy that is from lock haven,pa.

he is on the BASS PRO STAFF.

he wrote article about finding 26 sets of fawn legs in 1 coyote den.[:@]
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