Pa Deer Harvest results released
#21
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
BTB Thanks for the info!! But I thought the PGC stated last march that the 2008-2009 harvest should be alot higher because of the terrible weather during the 2007-2008 gun season which caused the 2007-2008 harvest to be alot less than expected? Or was last years excuse for such a poor harvest just that, an excuse? Pike
#22
Fork Horn
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 227
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
ORIGINAL: BTBowhunter
Rodger, the science of statistics has been around for a long time. The PGC uses statitical analysis to produce a reporting rate. They then apply the reporting rate to the actual reports. It's accurate the same way as it's accurate when the TV networks call the results of an election with only a small fraction of the votes in.
With POS licensing , we should have a mechanism available for a better reporting system but odds are that it really wont be substantially more accurate. What better reporting would hopefully do is negate the need for WCO's to check 25000+ deer at processors just so they can calculate an accuratereporting rate.
ORIGINAL: fellas2
BTB,please tell me you're kidding with that link to how our beloved PGC estimates the harvest.I bet there aren't two people in this state than can follow those pages of BS and formulas and put any type of creedence behind them.In the past,we have been told the majoriy of the count comes from the report cards and have been invited to come to Harrisburg and count them if we like.Now we're told that actual reort card make up about one third of the estimate and the rest is left to some mathmatical formula Albert Einstein couldn't understand.Sounds like another case of mt Dad's old saying : if you can't dazzle them with you're brillance,baffle them with you're bull****" !!!!
BTB,please tell me you're kidding with that link to how our beloved PGC estimates the harvest.I bet there aren't two people in this state than can follow those pages of BS and formulas and put any type of creedence behind them.In the past,we have been told the majoriy of the count comes from the report cards and have been invited to come to Harrisburg and count them if we like.Now we're told that actual reort card make up about one third of the estimate and the rest is left to some mathmatical formula Albert Einstein couldn't understand.Sounds like another case of mt Dad's old saying : if you can't dazzle them with you're brillance,baffle them with you're bull****" !!!!
With POS licensing , we should have a mechanism available for a better reporting system but odds are that it really wont be substantially more accurate. What better reporting would hopefully do is negate the need for WCO's to check 25000+ deer at processors just so they can calculate an accuratereporting rate.
#23
Nontypical Buck
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 3,879
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
What better reporting would hopefully do is negate the need for WCO's to check 25000+ deer at processors just so they can calculate an accurate reporting rate.
#24
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
ORIGINAL: J Pike
BTB Thanks for the info!! But I thought the PGC stated last march that the 2008-2009 harvest should be alot higher because of the terrible weather during the 2007-2008 gun season which caused the 2007-2008 harvest to be alot less than expected? Or was last years excuse for such a poor harvest just that, an excuse? Pike
BTB Thanks for the info!! But I thought the PGC stated last march that the 2008-2009 harvest should be alot higher because of the terrible weather during the 2007-2008 gun season which caused the 2007-2008 harvest to be alot less than expected? Or was last years excuse for such a poor harvest just that, an excuse? Pike
I also noticed that the WMU's that I know to be heavy on bowhunting pressure were pretty level between 07 and 08. That could well be that bowhunting negated the effects of poor weather in 07 in those WMU's.
#25
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
BTB whats really pathetic is that 450,000 OH. deer hunters had an ACTUAL 2008-09 harvest of 248,515 deer and 924,000 PA. deer hunters had an ESTIMATED 2008-09 harvest of 335,850 deer.
Just think what OH. harvest numbers would look like if the ODNR. ESTIMATED their total deer harvest like the PGC. does. Pike
Just think what OH. harvest numbers would look like if the ODNR. ESTIMATED their total deer harvest like the PGC. does. Pike
#26
Fork Horn
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 227
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
ORIGINAL: BTBowhunter
Your certainly trying to give this guy a snowjob with your prediction on next years harvest. Even if you know what the total 1 1/2 and 2 1/2 harvest were, plus the 5 of BB killed in both years, at best you could call your numbers a guesstimate.
Actually Jeff, they said the doe harvest caught up in 07 but the buck harvest stayed down. the entire difference between the 07 and 08 years was the buck harvest catching up. If they really have stabilized the herd and weather doesn't get to far off the charts either way, we should expect a similar doe harvest and a slightly smaller buck harvest next year. JMHO!
I also noticed that the WMU's that I know to be heavy on bowhunting pressure were pretty level between 07 and 08. That could well be that bowhunting negated the effects of poor weather in 07 in those WMU's.
ORIGINAL: J Pike
BTB Thanks for the info!! But I thought the PGC stated last march that the 2008-2009 harvest should be alot higher because of the terrible weather during the 2007-2008 gun season which caused the 2007-2008 harvest to be alot less than expected? Or was last years excuse for such a poor harvest just that, an excuse? Pike
BTB Thanks for the info!! But I thought the PGC stated last march that the 2008-2009 harvest should be alot higher because of the terrible weather during the 2007-2008 gun season which caused the 2007-2008 harvest to be alot less than expected? Or was last years excuse for such a poor harvest just that, an excuse? Pike
Actually Jeff, they said the doe harvest caught up in 07 but the buck harvest stayed down. the entire difference between the 07 and 08 years was the buck harvest catching up. If they really have stabilized the herd and weather doesn't get to far off the charts either way, we should expect a similar doe harvest and a slightly smaller buck harvest next year. JMHO!
I also noticed that the WMU's that I know to be heavy on bowhunting pressure were pretty level between 07 and 08. That could well be that bowhunting negated the effects of poor weather in 07 in those WMU's.
#27
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
ORIGINAL: bluebird2
Once again you demonstrate your amazing level of ignorance. Do you really believe the WCOs spend the first week of the concurrent season checking deer at the processors? Do you honestly believe that the main reason they check those deer is to estimate the harvest? How would the PGC determine the age of the buck harvested if they didn't check the der? how would they estimate the BB harvest? How would they know the average age of the doe harvested? You truly are clueless!!1
What better reporting would hopefully do is negate the need for WCO's to check 25000+ deer at processors just so they can calculate an accuratereporting rate.
I'll try to be patient with you because you don't seem to understand. Gotta tell you though, calling someone clueless when you can't grasp something kinda makes you look pretty foolish.
Do you really believe the WCOs spend the first week of the concurrent season checking deer at the processors?
Do you honestly believe that the main reason they check those deer is to estimate the harvest?
How would the PGC determine the age of the buck harvested if they didn't check the der? how would they estimate the BB harvest? How would they know the average age of the doe harvested?
The response wasn't to you BB but I guess I should have expected you'd read it. In the future, I will try to be complete and literal with my responses so that youwon't get so easily confused about the point I'm trying to make.
#28
Banned
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location:
Posts: 2,978
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
Great point Jeff. Pathetic is the word. If comparing realistically apples to apples Ohios harvest as reported and ours: Ohio--248,515 Pas--127,351.
According to those figures, Ohios harvest could well be DOUBLE our harvest.
"Harvest estimates for 2008-09 seasons are based on Harvest estimates for 2008-09 seasons are based on 127,351 usable harvest report cards (44,995 antlered; 82,356 antlerless) returned by hunters to the Commission and 26,057 deer (8,791 antlered; 17,266 antlerless) examined by Game Commission personnel in the field and at processors."
According to those figures, Ohios harvest could well be DOUBLE our harvest.
"Harvest estimates for 2008-09 seasons are based on Harvest estimates for 2008-09 seasons are based on 127,351 usable harvest report cards (44,995 antlered; 82,356 antlerless) returned by hunters to the Commission and 26,057 deer (8,791 antlered; 17,266 antlerless) examined by Game Commission personnel in the field and at processors."
#29
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 67
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
ORIGINAL: BTBowhunter
323,000 deer were killed by 924,000 hunters....
The harvest ratio per licensed hunter is still 34.95%
I
323,000 deer were killed by 924,000 hunters....
The harvest ratio per licensed hunter is still 34.95%
I
#30
RE: Pa Deer Harvest results released
ORIGINAL: J Pike
BTB whats really pathetic is that 450,000 OH. deer hunters had an ACTUAL 2008-09 harvest of 248,515 deer and 900,000 PA. deer hunters had an ESTIMATED 2008-09 harvest of 335,850 deer. Pike
BTB whats really pathetic is that 450,000 OH. deer hunters had an ACTUAL 2008-09 harvest of 248,515 deer and 900,000 PA. deer hunters had an ESTIMATED 2008-09 harvest of 335,850 deer. Pike