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bluebird2 10-01-2008 02:42 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Once again you are dead wrong!!I provided two separate quotes where Alt predicted hunters would be seeing bigger buck than before ARs. He did not say hunters would see more big buck,he said hunters would see more and bigger buck. The only logical meaning of that statement is that the 2.5+ buck would be bigger than before ARs.

Here is the final nail in your coffin.

"

Also, a proposal given preliminary approval in January to allow junior hunters to use their general license tag to take an antlerless deer in any county of the state was rejected.

"Of all the things that could improve our deer breeding ecology and increase the number and size of bucks in the herd, nothing would do it as quickly and dramatically - and be accepted by hunters - as changing our antler restrictions," said Dr. Gary Alt,

Since ARs do not increase the size of 1.5 buck , he was clearly referring to the 2.5+ bucks when he said ARs would increase the number and size of of bucks in the herd.

TWOWITHONE 10-01-2008 03:17 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
BTBowhunter explain 1 thing to me. Why, when G.Alt was down in the Connellsville High School was he waving 2 different racks around. I was there were you, I know what he said.

Cornelius08 10-01-2008 03:31 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
"You kind of remind me of Barack Obama. Very free and easy with criticisms of the satus quo but very short on constructive ideas going forward."

Then I guess that would make PGC Barack Obama? Lots of unsubstantiated claims, promises with no intent to fulfill, and we havent moved forward... Just losing hunters, slaughtering the herd widescale statewidefor little apparent reason other than audubonwants it that way...

Want us to move forward? Put more deer where they can be and should be within the acceptable habitat limits, with REASONABLE and APPROPRIATE antlerless allocations...Thats not being done. Quit catering to extremeists just because a few of the boc share their views. Quit seeking like minded anti-deer replacements. GO to smaller wmus, Quit making so many contradictory claims and false promises, and work ALOT on PR.

VERY easy. VERY common sense. Moving forward by leaps and bounds. But never gonna happen willinglyif we must rely on current BOC and PGC higher ups.

Only thing that will moveus forward will be legislators continuing to "stay the course"continuing to keepmoremoney out ofPgcs hands.

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 04:44 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: bluebird2

Once again you are dead wrong!!I provided two separate quotes where Alt predicted hunters would be seeing bigger buck than before ARs. He did not say hunters would see more big buck,he said hunters would see more and bigger buck. The only logical meaning of that statement is that the 2.5+ buck would be bigger than before ARs.

Here is the final nail in your coffin.

"

Also, a proposal given preliminary approval in January to allow junior hunters to use their general license tag to take an antlerless deer in any county of the state was rejected.

"Of all the things that could improve our deer breeding ecology and increase the number and size of bucks in the herd, nothing would do it as quickly and dramatically - and be accepted by hunters - as changing our antler restrictions," said Dr. Gary Alt,

Since ARs do not increase the size of 1.5 buck , he was clearly referring to the 2.5+ bucks when he said ARs would increase the number and size of of bucks in the herd.
As I've said before, Alt said some of it wrong. The infamous more and bigger bucks is a clear example of that. We have bigger but not more. Plain and simple.

That being said, your claim that he said that buck antler size would change within a given age group is 100% fantasy on your part. You cant prove it because he did'nt say it so now you've shifted to a strategy of concluding that it just has to be what he meant! Pathetic!

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 04:49 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: TWOWITHONE

BTBowhunter explain 1 thing to me. Why, when G.Alt was down in the Connellsville High School was he waving 2 different racks around. I was there were you, I know what he said.
I wasn't at Connelsville but I was at Murrysville. I don't dispute that he held up those two racks or that he said more and bigger bucks or even that he was partly wrong. What I'm disputing is Bluebirds insisitent fantasy that Alt promised that buck of the same age would be bigger somehow as a result of AR's. He did'nt say it at the meetings I attended nor was that ever in print.

bluebird2 10-01-2008 04:54 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
As I've said before, Alt said some of it wrong. The infamous more and bigger bucks is a clear example of that. We have bigger but not more. Plain and simple.

As I've said before, Alt said some of it wrong. The infamous more and bigger bucks is a clear example of that. We have bigger but not more. Plain and simple.
Are you now claiming the 2.5+ buck are bigger than they were before ARs?

That being said, your claim that he said that buck antler size would change within a given age group is 100% fantasy on your part. You cant prove it because he did'nt say it so now you've shifted to a strategy of concluding that it just has to be what he meant! Pathetic!

_____________________________

Apparently you have a problem understanding the english language. In 3 different quotes Alt said that the bucks would be bigger, larger or increase in size. It should be obvious to everyone that he was referring to the 2.5+ buck produced by ARs.

What do you think Alt meant when he said the bucks would be bigger than ever before?

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 05:07 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

Then I guess that would make PGC Barack Obama? Lots of unsubstantiated claims, promises with no intent to fulfill, and we havent moved forward... Just losing hunters, slaughtering the herd widescale statewidefor little apparent reason other than audubonwants it that way...
No, it makes the PGC more like the current administration. Having to make difficult choices. The PGC is Putting up with distortions from the USP types like the Bush administration puts up with media distortions.

Obama comes up with this "feel good" simplisitic demand for change and sings the same old tax and spend song. Bluebird and the USP sing the same old no deer for me song while failing to provide evn one solution of substance.

Obama appeals to the lower IQ crowd with the tax only the rich chant while Bluebird appeals to the lower IQ crowd by chanting over and over that the habitata can support more deer

I could make these comparisons all night but these'll do for now.



Want us to move forward? Put more deer where they can be and should be within the acceptable habitat limits, with REASONABLE and APPROPRIATE antlerless allocations...Thats not being done.
There it is! the real reason for your tantrums. "More deer for me. There used to be more where I hunt and I want em back no matter what. Listen to me not thescientists about how many deer there should be"
Well you can whine cry scream and kick but it aint gonna happen.


Only thing that will moveus forward will be legislators continuing to "stay the course"continuing to keepmoremoney out ofPgcs hands.
This one is the most naive statement of all. Continuing to starve the PGC out financially simply increases the chance of a PGC PFBC and DCNR merger. You think you have no voice now? Just wait till the DCNR calls all the shots and we'll have the likes of you and Bluebird to thank for it.

bluebird2 10-01-2008 05:16 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

Obama appeals to the lower IQ crowd with the tax only the rich chant while Bluebird appeals to the lower IQ crowd by chanting over and over that the habitata can support more deer
Do you mean the lower IQ crowd like Alsheimer who manages his 200 acres at a density so high he can harvest 8-10 doe /year?

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 05:18 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

Are you now claiming the 2.5+ buck are bigger than they were before ARs?
Only a moron could get that from what I said.



Apparently you have a problem understanding the english language. In 3 different quotes Alt said that the bucks would be bigger, larger or increase in size. It should be obvious to everyone that he was referring to the 2.5+ buck produced by ARs.

What do you think Alt meant when he said the bucks would be bigger than ever before?
I'll try again once. Now read this R E A L slow.... 2.5 bucks are bigger on average than 1.5 bucks... still with me? Go back and read it again and repeat the process till you understand part 1. Now lets try a little more for today... ready? If more of the bucks we harvest are 2.5+, our average buck size will be B I G G E R. I know it's a lot for one day but sleep on it and read it again tomorrow. If you still don't understand after that, you willhave officially passed the USP life member IQ test.

Cornelius08 10-01-2008 05:20 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
"As I've said before, Alt said some of it wrong. The infamous more and bigger bucks is a clear example of that. We have bigger but not more. Plain and simple. "

We dont have bigger either. The largest bucks are no larger than they were previously. There also arent more big bucks. Extreme hr didnt allow for it.

"No, it makes the PGC more like the current administration. Having to make difficult choices."

and like current administration, a lotta wrong ones, guess we could also compare the current economy to Pgc making themselves go broke?

"The PGC is Putting up with distortions from the USP types like the Bush administration puts up with media distortions."

Im pure Republican, and will definately vote Mcain. But Bush isnt exactly our finest example.:D

"Bluebird and the USP sing the same old no deer for me song while failing to provide evn one solution of substance."

Im not speaking for Bluebird or USP, but I think they would agree, and or maybe have other ideas as well, but as a HUUUUGE starting point...What part of less doe tags dont you understand?

"Obama appeals to the lower IQ crowd with the tax only the rich chant while Bluebird appeals to the lower IQ crowd by chanting over and over that the habitata can support more deer"

While the higher IQ crowd sits back and laughs at your denying it as if it were notfact, and chuckling at your desparation tactics of constant namecalling of some of the posters here, as well as laughing at your analogies.[8D]


"There it is! the real reason for your tantrums. "More deer for me. There used to be more where I hunt and I want em back no matter what. Listen to me not thescientists about how many deer there should be""

I didnt say Me or I. I said the sport of hunting and hunters.And Im darn well gonna stick up for "us" and makeZERO appologies fordoing so,when ecoclowns are dictating our deer herd management and they are looking out for their own interests.You say "scientists" I say highly biased. Audubon has biologists, antihunting groups have theirs...That doesnt mean they would manage our deer herd in a responsible manner.

It Can be easily seen that OUR scientists are "special" and the "appropriate" minded individuals were hired to fulfill the extreme duties that were to come. Also,no other states would actin such extreme unbased manners, and certainly not stick with a proven failed plan.

"Well you can whine cry scream and kick but it aint gonna happen."

Just like Carl Roe and that fee increase if the hunters and legislators of our fine state continue to have anything to say about it.;)


"You think you have no voice now? Just wait till the DCNR calls all the shots and we'll have the likes of you and Bluebird to thank for it."

That system you fear works better than ours in most of thestates of the nation. Most dont have rogue special interest catering"independent"unanswering wildlife mangement agencies. Look around at the other posts in this thread,from other states...See any "deer wars" going on anywhere else? I dont.;)

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 05:22 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: bluebird2


Obama appeals to the lower IQ crowd with the tax only the rich chant while Bluebird appeals to the lower IQ crowd by chanting over and over that the habitata can support more deer
Do you mean the lower IQ crowd like Alsheimer who manages his 200 acres at a density so high he can harvest 8-10 doe /year?
According to you, Dr Kroll is stupid, Charlie Alsheimer is stupid, Dr Samuel is stupid, Dr Alt is stupid along with the vast majority of their peers. I can't help but wonder why someone as "intelligent" as you hasn't been snapped up by some game management agency?

bluebird2 10-01-2008 05:26 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

I'll try again once. Now read this R E A L slow.... 2.5 bucks are bigger on average than 1.5 bucks... still with me? Go back and read it again and repeat the process till you understand part 1. Now lets try a little more for today... ready? If more of the bucks we harvest are 2.5+, our average buck size will be B I G G E R. I know it's a lot for one day but sleep on it and read it again tomorrow. If you still don't understand after that, you will have officially passed the USP life member IQ test.

You are reading things that aren't there. Alt said nothing about the size of the average buck harvested. Furthermore, since we had 2.5 bucks before ARs, the only way hunters would see bigger buck than ever before is if the 2.5+ buck with ARs were bigger than the 2.5 +buck before ARs. Like so many PGC supporters you see and read what you want to see ,not what is really there.

bluebird2 10-01-2008 05:33 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

According to you, Dr Kroll is stupid, Charlie Alsheimer is stupid, Dr Samuel is stupid, Dr Alt is stupid along with the vast majority of their peers. I can't help but wonder why someone as "intelligent" as you hasn't been snapped up by some game management agency?
I never said they were stupid. It is just that they are all promoting their own agenda and have their own personal biases.

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 05:35 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: bluebird2


I'll try again once. Now read this R E A L slow.... 2.5 bucks are bigger on average than 1.5 bucks... still with me? Go back and read it again and repeat the process till you understand part 1. Now lets try a little more for today... ready? If more of the bucks we harvest are 2.5+, our average buck size will be B I G G E R. I know it's a lot for one day but sleep on it and read it again tomorrow. If you still don't understand after that, you willhave officially passed the USP life member IQ test.

You are reading things that aren't there. Alt said nothing about the size of the average buck harvested. Furthermore, since we had 2.5 bucks before ARs, the only way hunters would see bigger buck than ever before is if the 2.5+ buck with ARs were bigger than the 2.5 +buck before ARs. Like so many PGC supporters you see and read what you want to see ,not what is really there.
read what you just wrote again. It makes absolutely no sense.

BTW, you have passed the USP life member IQ exam.Your perfect score of zero autmatically makes you elgible to run for an officers position.

Cornelius08 10-01-2008 05:40 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Alt doesnt belong on that list. To include him is a gross misrepresentation. Those other gentlemen are extremely noted and knowledgable whitetail deer researchers. Alt actually owned up to his huge lack of knowledge on the topic of deer management more than once. He was a BEAR biologist, and a mouthpiece/hypnotist for pgc. Nothing more when it came to the deer program, and certainly not to be confused with the same "class" as those who'd studied deer for many decades.

I also like how he stated that when he was shown the state of the forest it drove him to his knees! (LOL) Always get a good snicker when Im reminded of that one. He he he.:D

bluebird2 10-01-2008 05:46 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
I'll shorten the quote for you so you won't get so confused.

This should increase the number of
bucks living at least one more year and,
in the long term, hunters
will likely see more
-
Notice at the end of the quote it says "hunters will likely SEE"

Seeing deer is a lot different than harvesting deer.


Screamin Steel 10-01-2008 07:54 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: Cornelius08

Alt doesnt belong on that list. To include him is a gross misrepresentation. Those other gentlemen are extremely noted and knowledgable whitetail deer researchers. Alt actually owned up to his huge lack of knowledge on the topic of deer management more than once. He was a BEAR biologist, and a mouthpiece/hypnotist for pgc. Nothing more when it came to the deer program, and certainly not to be confused with the same "class" as those who'd studied deer for many decades.

I also like how he stated that when he was shown the state of the forest it drove him to his knees! (LOL) Always get a good snicker when Im reminded of that one. He he he.:D
Imagine that. The state bear biologist forabout a decade, lifelong resident, and he just saw the forest for the first time?

BTBowhunter 10-01-2008 08:00 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

Alt doesnt belong on that list. To include him is a gross misrepresentation. Those other gentlemen are extremely noted and knowledgable whitetail deer researchers.
Not according to your hero Bluebird. He claims to know more than all of them.

bluebird2 10-02-2008 05:38 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 


ORIGINAL: BTBowhunter


Alt doesnt belong on that list. To include him is a gross misrepresentation. Those other gentlemen are extremely noted and knowledgable whitetail deer researchers.
Not according to your hero Bluebird. He claims to know more than all of them.
Please provide the post where I made that claim. All I have done is to point out that one shouldn't take everything written by the experts as the truth. Alt out right lied,Kroll was mistaken about ARs in Miss. and Alsheimer didn't question Alt's lies and simply repeated them giving them more credence.

I never claimed to more than all of those experts, but I know enough to know when they aren't telling the truth.

Even you questioned Alsheimer claim about harvesting 8-10 doe/200acres,so do you know claim to know more that Alshiemer?

BTBowhunter 10-02-2008 09:57 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

Please provide the post where I made that claim. All I have done is to point out that one shouldn't take everything written by the experts as the truth. Alt out right lied,Kroll was mistaken about ARs in Miss. and Alsheimer didn't question Alt's lies and simply repeated them giving them more credence.

I never claimed to more than all of those experts, but I know enough to know when they aren't telling the truth.

You claimed that Dr Kroll doesnt understand the concept of high grading

You Claimed that Alsheimers quote about one little slice of property constituted a QDM practice

And yes, you've called them all liars and of course you've claimed to understand better than them what's right for PA

All that together makes what I said before valid. You think or at least you pretend that you know more than they do.

The "witch doctors" title of this thread alone says it all about your arrogance when it come to the research and findings of the professionals.


Even you questioned Alsheimer claim about harvesting 8-10 doe/200acres,so do you know claim to know more that Alshiemer?
I did no such thing. The only thing I pointed out was that you lumped Charles Alsheiner in with your criticism of the "witch doctors" and I pointed out that he is an editor and writer. A knowledgeable one at that but he's no doctor of wildife biology

bluebird2 10-02-2008 10:46 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Here is where you disagreed with Asheimer, because he said the recommened doe harvest /1000acres was 45 doe ,which equate to 29 Doe PSM

Does anyone in his right mind beleive that ANYONE would promote a deer density so high that it could sustain a HARVEST of 29 doe per square mile? A sustained doe harvest that large would require a pre season density of 90-100 DPSM when adult bucks, buck fawns, and non hunting mortality are also considered. He expects us to buy that fairy tale?
Now here is what Asheimer said;

The proper number of deer per square mile of deer habitat will vary by region. In our farm rich area of New York State , biologists would like to see no more than 35-40 deer per square mile. Unfortunately these numbers haven’t been seen for more than two decades.

In our QDM program we typically harvest between 8 and 12 does per season on our 200 acres. This is a bit more than the normal recommended harvest of 45 does per 1,000 acres, but we harvest a few more than some might think we need to because some of our surrounding neighbors do not believe in killing does.
The doe harvest on Alsheimer land would equal 32 doe PSM.

And yes, you've called them all liars and of course you've claimed to understand better than them what's right for PA

All that together makes what I said before valid. You think or at least you pretend that you know more than they do.
The only one I called a liar is Alt , because he knew he wasn't telling the truth about the B/D ratio or the effects of ARs. I didn't call Asheimer and Kroll ,liars . I simply disagreed with them You seem to think anyone that disagrees with you is a liar ,so I can understand your confusion.


BTBowhunter 10-02-2008 03:46 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Read slowly and try to grasp the concept. First Alsheimer talked about general guidelines and then he got specific about one property. Apples and oranges.

I don't disagree with Alseimer altough I do question the 45/1000 acres part of it. It looks like a typo or it needs moreclarifying information as to the context. We all know that context it a concept you have trouble with.


bluebird2 10-02-2008 04:02 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

In our farm rich area of New York State , biologists would like to see no more than 35-40 deer per square mile. Unfortunately these numbers haven’t been seen for more than two decades.
If you are questioning the 45 doe harvest PSM then you are questioning Alshiemers veracity. Apparently you also missed the portion of the above quote that states that the biologist would like to see no more than 35-40 DPSM,which is double what the PGC recommended for our best habitat and it is 6 times what the PGC recommended for 5C which has excellent deer habitat.

White-tail-deer 10-02-2008 06:57 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Round and Round we go.....

Where we stop, nobody knows!

:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

bluebird2 10-02-2008 07:08 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
I have been surfacing the net trying to find what QDMA would recommend as the preferred carrying capacity for PA. As yet i have not been able to find anything on the QDMA website that specified the appropriate deer density for PA. Can you tell us what deer density QDMA would recommend for PA?

bluebird2 10-06-2008 05:24 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
This post will make BTB's day since he questioned the ridiculous doe harvest rates Alsheimer recommended. Like BTB I questioned those harvest rates so I checked on the data from Steuben Co. NY and found that their buck harvest rate was 4.4 buck PSM. The 2006 buck harvest rate for 2A in PA was 4.47 buck PSM and a antlerless harvest rate of only 13.86 DPSM continued to reduce the herd.

So although Alsheimer claimed that a harvest rate of 29 doe PSM was sustainable, it is apparent that a harvest rate that high was nothing but a gross exaggeration.

BTBowhunter 10-06-2008 07:51 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
setting our differences aside for a moment, I think a good guess would be that he intended to say thar 29 was a target deer density. That would be more in line with the rest of the article

JMHO

bluebird2 10-06-2008 08:03 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
If you go back and read the article you will see that is not a rational explanation. Alsheimer referred to a harvest rate of 32 doe PSM on his property and a QDMA recommendation of 29 DPSM. He also said that the biologist recommended a deer density of 35-40 DPSM for his area in NY.

bluebird2 10-09-2008 04:02 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Here is another whopper told by another DR. , David deClasta talking about the results from the QDMA Cooperative at Kinzua.

Fawn recruitment (34%) was an
improvement over 2004 but still below target level. Buck:doe ratio in 2005 (1 buck:4.7 does)
was much improved over previous years and close to goal.
After reducing the herd by 48%, and implementing ARs, deClasta is still claiming that the B/D ratio is 1:4.7 which is next to impossible. The statewide average B/D ratio before herd reduction and ARs in PA was 1:2.1.

BTBowhunter 10-09-2008 07:32 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

After reducing the herd by 48%, and implementing ARs, deClasta is still claiming that the B/D ratio is 1:4.7 which is next to impossible. The statewide average B/D ratio before herd reduction and ARs in PA was 1:2.1.
Anyone who believes that the BD ratio was 1:2.1 is definitely smokin what you're sellin

bluebird2 10-09-2008 08:03 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Are you claiming Bret Wallingford of the PGC is lying about the B/D ratio? He is the one that provided the data that shows the B/D ratio in 2001 was 1:2.1 There is also a PGN article from 1984 that shows that no county had a B/D ratio worse than 1:2.8 and many counties were at or below 1:2.0

BTBowhunter 10-09-2008 08:25 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: bluebird2

Are you claiming Bret Wallingford of the PGC is lying about the B/D ratio? He is the one that provided the data that shows the B/D ratio in 2001 was 1:2.1 There is also a PGN article from 1984 that shows that no county had a B/D ratio worse than 1:2.8 and many counties were at or below 1:2.0
Got a link or some proof? Probably not.

Even considering that button bucks generally get counted as doe by hunters, how many PA hunters would agree with you based on deer sightings prior to 2001?

Assuming for a moment that the 1984 article says what you say it does (probably numbers taken out of context again) just how relevant and reliable is data from 1984 likely to be? You yourself question every current number to come out of the PGC (when it fits your agenda) Your wishing for the good old days has caused you to quote data that was 20+ years old before to make your point. All it does is make you appear desperate.

bluebird2 10-10-2008 06:03 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Here is the data B. Wallingford provided for our 2001 deer herd.

Why did the population “estimate” of 1.5 million in March 2001 (press release # ??) change to 1.37 million in March 2002?

The March 2001 “estimate” of the deer population was not a population estimate at all. It was a PROJECTION of what we expected have in October 2001. It used the previous 5 years of survival and reproductive data to estimate what these parameters will be the NEXT year. Since it projects into the future, and bases survival and reproduction on past years, there is little chance that this year’s actual survival and reproduction estimates (because they are measured using data) will hit exactly on the 5-year average. The 5-year average is used to reduce variation, and give us the best estimate of what the parameters will be in the following year.

Survival of deer between January and October is an important parameter to measure for projecting deer populations. This parameter accounts for the difference that occurred between the 2001 projection and the 2001 estimate.

In January 2001, using the ESTIMATED preseason population (which used harvest data) and subtracting the harvest left the following deer to overwinter:

Adult bucks: 55,482
Male fawns: 282,571 (total males = 338,053)
Adult females: 412,803
Female fawns: 259,700 (total females = 672,503)

(Note: all of the overwintering deer listed above will be adults in the October 2001 preseason estimate.)

The October 2001 preseason ESTIMATE (calculated in February 2002 using the 2001 harvest data) gave the following for adult males and females:

Adult bucks: 244,220
Adult females: 532,551


Assuming for a moment that the 1984 article says what you say it does (probably numbers taken out of context again) just how relevant and reliable is data from 1984 likely to be? You yourself question every current number to come out of the PGC (when it fits your agenda) Your wishing for the good old days has caused you to quote data that was 20+ years old before to make your point. All it does is make you appear desperate.

The data is quite relevant because it shows we haven't had a problem with the B/D ratio for over 25 years. Furthermore, since we have had an antlerless harvest every year since 1984 , it is impossible to have a B/d ratio of 1:4.

Even considering that button bucks generally get counted as doe by hunters, how many PA hunters would agree with you based on deer sightings prior to 2001?
If you include fawns ,then you are talking about the antlered to antlerless ratio ,not the B/D ratio.




BTBowhunter 10-10-2008 06:23 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: bluebird2

Here is the data B. Wallingford provided for our 2001 deer herd.

Why did the population “estimate” of 1.5 million in March 2001 (press release # ??) change to 1.37 million in March 2002?

The March 2001 “estimate” of the deer population was not a population estimate at all. It was a PROJECTION of what we expected have in October 2001. It used the previous 5 years of survival and reproductive data to estimate what these parameters will be the NEXT year. Since it projects into the future, and bases survival and reproduction on past years, there is little chance that this year’s actual survival and reproduction estimates (because they are measured using data) will hit exactly on the 5-year average. The 5-year average is used to reduce variation, and give us the best estimate of what the parameters will be in the following year.

Survival of deer between January and October is an important parameter to measure for projecting deer populations. This parameter accounts for the difference that occurred between the 2001 projection and the 2001 estimate.

In January 2001, using the ESTIMATED preseason population (which used harvest data) and subtracting the harvest left the following deer to overwinter:

Adult bucks: 55,482
Male fawns: 282,571 (total males = 338,053)
Adult females: 412,803
Female fawns: 259,700 (total females = 672,503)

(Note: all of the overwintering deer listed above will be adults in the October 2001 preseason estimate.)

The October 2001 preseason ESTIMATE (calculated in February 2002 using the 2001 harvest data) gave the following for adult males and females:

Adult bucks: 244,220
Adult females: 532,551


Assuming for a moment that the 1984 article says what you say it does (probably numbers taken out of context again) just how relevant and reliable is data from 1984 likely to be? You yourself question every current number to come out of the PGC (when it fits your agenda) Your wishing for the good old days has caused you to quote data that was 20+ years old before to make your point. All it does is make you appear desperate.

The data is quite relevant because it shows we haven't had a problem with the B/D ratio for over 25 years. Furthermore, since we have had an antlerless harvest every year since 1984 , it is impossible to have a B/d ratio of 1:4.

Even considering that button bucks generally get counted as doe by hunters, how many PA hunters would agree with you based on deer sightings prior to 2001?
If you include fawns ,then you are talking about the antlered to antlerless ratio ,not the B/D ratio.
According to the numbers you just presented, we were harvesting 80% of our adult bucks andyet onlyaround 22% of our adult doe in 2001. And you expect us to believe the B/D harvest was not out of whack?

DougE 10-10-2008 07:01 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
Actually bluebird is correct about the adult b/d ratio and I read the letter from Breet Wallingford.I believe it was sent to Mark Hogan.In any event,if you kill doe and we've beenkilling more antlerless than antlered deer for a couple of decades,it's impossible to have a b/d ratio any worse than 1/3.That isn't to say that the b/d ratio has gotten better and made the rut much more exciting.

BTBowhunter 10-10-2008 07:14 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
This is purely unscientific but I'm required to keep a log for the suburban hunting program that I participate in and my adult doe/adult buck sightings are actually 55/45 in favor of bucks so far this year within the program area. My trail cameras which are placed both inside and outside of that area are running about 45/55 in favor of the does. By my personal experience, we are just about right at the present.

Again, I acknowledge that this is one hunters experience and may not be an indicator of the bigger picture.

bluebird2 10-10-2008 07:54 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

According to the numbers you just presented, we were harvesting 80% of our adult bucks and yet only around 22% of our adult doe in 2001. And you expect us to believe the B/D harvest was not out of whack?
It's funny you would post something that obviously conflicts with your personal observations in an area where the B/D ratio should be skewed due to lower that required antlerless harvests.

I have no idea where you got the 20% adult doe harvest . In 2002 we harvested 37% of our adult doe and every year more doe than buck are lost to non-hunting mortality. The only way one can get a B/D ratio of 1:4 is if there is no antlerless harvest and you have very low productivity.

BTBowhunter 10-10-2008 09:07 AM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 

ORIGINAL: bluebird2


According to the numbers you just presented, we were harvesting 80% of our adult bucks andyet onlyaround 22% of our adult doe in 2001. And you expect us to believe the B/D harvest was not out of whack?
It's funny you would post something that obviously conflicts with your personal observations in an area where the B/D ratio should be skewed due to lower that required antlerless harvests.

I have no idea where you got the 20% adult doe harvest . In 2002 we harvested 37% of our adult doe and every year more doe than buck are lost to non-hunting mortality. The only way one can get a B/D ratio of 1:4 is if there is no antlerless harvest and you have very low productivity.
My personal observations are current as in this season and we were talking about pre AR HR BD ratio's as in 2001


As for your questioning my 22 % number, I got it from your post:


Adult females: 412,803
Female fawns: 259,700 (total females = 672,503)

(Note: all of the overwintering deer listed above will be adults in the October 2001 preseason estimate.)

The October 2001 preseason ESTIMATE (calculated in February 2002 using the 2001 harvest data) gave the following for adult males and females:

Adult bucks: 244,220
Adult females: 532,551
412,803 post seaosn adult females
532,551 pre season adult females

412,803/ 532,551=77.51% of adult females post season means that 22.49 were harvested

The math is simple enough. Maybe the doe mortality figures regarding hunteing mortality are not so far out there after all.

Now lets see you spin it

bluebird2 10-10-2008 12:26 PM

RE: Witch Doctors Should Hunters Believe
 
There is no need to spin anything because the numbers are what they are. You were right that the numbers show a 22.5% decrease in the PS herd but what you missed is that the PGC claimed the OW doe herd dropped from 672,503 to 532 551 PS, which is a decrease of 21% so the total doe mortality was 43.5%.


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