I would think scouting and food sources would improve your chances in the fall. Scouting helps you find where they are consistantly flocked up at and the food source I would think dictates their movements. It seems food is king with winter coming on so I would think they are near the best food source in their core areas. Last fall I had a tag but really did'nt hunt the birds like I do in the spring. I looked for them while bow hunting deer and only had one chance at a nice tom but he headed the wrong way at around 50 yards and that was that. Right after the season ened as useual a nice tom walks out of the woods about 12 yards from me and gave me so many good shots while he grazed around.That was a lucky bird for sure.