It' s a hard proven FACT, well to some it is, to some it is about as predictable as the weather, cold in the winter hot in the summer Depends on who you ask adn what mood they are in at the time. Me, I think it is fiction, but I do beleive that it will happen about the smae time from year to year! The only reason I keep track of what the moon is doing is som I know if I need to carry a flash light with me to see while getting to and from the stand