WY and MT would be my 1st choices.
WY- any unit you can draw your 1st year without pref.pts. less you have some pts built up already?
MT- I believe it's the 700 series antelope tag.

NM is random, if you draw this tag, you're in luck! I hear changes are coming for this upcoming year though. Odds aren't great, but 1st year draw is possible since no bonus points everyone has the same odds. I haven't drawn in 4 or 5 years...but it's possible any year, any zone/unit can produce a booner!