Originally Posted by
ManySpurs
Yea I knew that certain landowners and military personel could walk in. My son and grandson fall into neither of those categories.
Now, could you explain how the PGC came to the conclusion that their two anterless tags were warranted? I mean with the possibility of several thousand hunters buying tags and burning them, several thousand more hunters buying tags and using them and not sending in harvest reports, another possible several thousand hunters buying tags and using them and sending in their report cards, along with several other scenarios, how can current allocations be based on last years harvest? It's a game of chance.
Now would you kindly answer the question? How does the PGC base current year allocations based on a previous years harvest?
It's not a game of chance. It's the science of statistical analysis. Just as a TV network can accurately predict the winner of an election with just a few percent of the votes actually counted, the PGC can accurately predict both the deer population and needed harvest with the information they have. Better reporting rates might make things easier but the bottom line is that it is relativley easy to make predictions with only a small sample of most anything.
If you're asking, as the bird is, for a rehash of the formula the PGC uses, do an archive search. I'm not wasting time digging up old news so that he or you can twist and spin the numbers to his own agenda all over again. If you wish to dispute the methodolgy for determining tag allocations, produce the data yourself and then explain the alleged flaws.