It seems to me like a few of the more thought out approaches have basically the same conclusion and time frame. Perhaps there is something valid in many of these posts. In any case, I respect that TR would put so much information out there and contribute to the topic. You don't have to agree word for word but if you didn't get something from his detailed explanation than you were simply reading and replying out of spite.

I don't know him, I vaguely heard of him..but always welcome a fresh well thought out contribution. Come into the Bowhunting area TR we're more friendly...