RE: What are my chances honostly?!?
Welcome to (bow) hunting!
Maybe you will see him, maybe you wont. What ever the case, you are 15? You have plenty of time. I started hunting in my 30's and the only thing regret is not sstartig younger. I also applaud you for being so responsible at your age. Stick with it and you will have more than this monster come by.
I was hunting last year with a .270. I had a nice buck in my sights at 100 yards. I fired and missed! He just stood there and continued feeding. Fired again - MISS! HOW!?!? He walked a little closer - FIRE! MISS!
I was now out of ammo! I only brought 3 shots in the feild.
Lesson? PREPARE! I will now have a full magazine and a pocket full of rounds. I will ALSO inspect my SCOPE / SIGHTS when ever I travel with my wepons. In this sceario, my scope got knockedout of line.