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-   -   What's your prediction? (https://www.huntingnet.com/forum/politics/423889-whats-your-prediction.html)

elkman30 08-20-2020 05:33 PM

Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania for starters. I'm not sure about Ohio though. That could be a tough one to predict.

CalHunter 08-20-2020 05:49 PM

In looking at the link above to 270towin's forecast for November 2020 and comparing it to their forecast for November 2016, their maps looks somewhat similar aside from the tossup states. In this year (2020), I think Florida and a few other states like Georgia and North Carolina should at least be marked as leaning red. After 2016's results and looking at current DNC expenditures, I think Pennsylvania and Michigan should be moved to tossup status. It's still too early to say for sure but I don't think 270towin's analysis is accurate at this point.

grouch55 08-21-2020 07:15 AM

my experience this past week--- looked in 4 cities Trump yard signs ! first 3 were totally out and waiting for more, the 4th had 4 signs left out of 750 delivered 4 days before ! Republican offices can not keep up with demand--SILENT MAJORITY IS SPEAKING

Beau Ouiville 08-21-2020 07:22 AM

As they say, "Bet with your head; not with your heart."

Beau Ouiville 08-21-2020 09:12 AM

1 Attachment(s)

Originally Posted by CalHunter (Post 4379816)
In looking at the link above to 270towin's forecast for November 2020 and comparing it to their forecast for November 2016, their maps looks somewhat similar aside from the tossup states. In this year (2020), I think Florida and a few other states like Georgia and North Carolina should at least be marked as leaning red. After 2016's results and looking at current DNC expenditures, I think Pennsylvania and Michigan should be moved to tossup status. It's still too early to say for sure but I don't think 270towin's analysis is accurate at this point.

Well, Fox News says this:



elkman30 08-21-2020 10:18 AM

Aren't you the guy who bashes Fox News a lot? If you don't like them, why would you trust their poll?

CalHunter 08-21-2020 10:27 AM

I can see why Beau would post Fox News in response to my comment since I've certainly posted a lot of Fox's article before. However, this topic asked for my opinion, not Fox's. I posted my opinion above and Fox's poll doesn't really dissuade me from having this opinion. Grouch55's post above makes me even more sure of my opinion. With all of the spam callers nowadays and how most people won't answer a suspected spam caller, I'd be surprised if polls are really as accurate as they purport to be. The same goes for people who actually answer their phones and don't want to be labelled or attacked for their political viewpoint. As grouch55 put it, the silent majority is speaking (on vote day but not necessarily with pollsters).

hubby11 08-21-2020 10:42 AM


Originally Posted by elkman30 (Post 4379838)
Aren't you the guy who bashes Fox News a lot? If you don't like them, why would you trust their poll?

Not speaking for anyone, but if a network that is commonly perceived as right leaning puts out polls that are against its interest, it's not unreasonable to give those polls a little more weight.

Beau Ouiville 08-21-2020 11:10 AM


Originally Posted by elkman30 (Post 4379838)
Aren't you the guy who bashes Fox News a lot? If you don't like them, why would you trust their poll?

Because someone mistrusted the 270 to win numbers. If that is partisan, even Fox News says this ...

Let's depersonalize this, ok?

falcon 08-21-2020 12:09 PM

My prediction: Evil will triumph.:happy0001:


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