What's your prediction?
08-20-2020, 05:49 PM
#12
Super Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Northern California
Posts: 17,650
In looking at the link above to 270towin's forecast for November 2020 and comparing it to their forecast for November 2016, their maps looks somewhat similar aside from the tossup states. In this year (2020), I think Florida and a few other states like Georgia and North Carolina should at least be marked as leaning red. After 2016's results and looking at current DNC expenditures, I think Pennsylvania and Michigan should be moved to tossup status. It's still too early to say for sure but I don't think 270towin's analysis is accurate at this point.
08-21-2020, 07:15 AM
#13
Fork Horn
Join Date: Oct 2018
Posts: 142
my experience this past week--- looked in 4 cities Trump yard signs ! first 3 were totally out and waiting for more, the 4th had 4 signs left out of 750 delivered 4 days before ! Republican offices can not keep up with demand--SILENT MAJORITY IS SPEAKING
08-21-2020, 09:12 AM
#15
Nontypical Buck
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: South Side
Posts: 2,052
Originally Posted by CalHunter
In looking at the link above to 270towin's forecast for November 2020 and comparing it to their forecast for November 2016, their maps looks somewhat similar aside from the tossup states. In this year (2020), I think Florida and a few other states like Georgia and North Carolina should at least be marked as leaning red. After 2016's results and looking at current DNC expenditures, I think Pennsylvania and Michigan should be moved to tossup status. It's still too early to say for sure but I don't think 270towin's analysis is accurate at this point.
08-21-2020, 10:27 AM
#17
Super Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Northern California
Posts: 17,650
I can see why Beau would post Fox News in response to my comment since I've certainly posted a lot of Fox's article before. However, this topic asked for my opinion, not Fox's. I posted my opinion above and Fox's poll doesn't really dissuade me from having this opinion. Grouch55's post above makes me even more sure of my opinion. With all of the spam callers nowadays and how most people won't answer a suspected spam caller, I'd be surprised if polls are really as accurate as they purport to be. The same goes for people who actually answer their phones and don't want to be labelled or attacked for their political viewpoint. As grouch55 put it, the silent majority is speaking (on vote day but not necessarily with pollsters).
08-21-2020, 10:42 AM
#18
Typical Buck
Thread Starter
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Clifton, VA
Posts: 814
Originally Posted by elkman30
Aren't you the guy who bashes Fox News a lot? If you don't like them, why would you trust their poll?
Last edited by hubby11; 08-21-2020 at 10:43 AM. Reason: clarity
08-21-2020, 11:10 AM
#19
Nontypical Buck
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: South Side
Posts: 2,052
Originally Posted by elkman30
Aren't you the guy who bashes Fox News a lot? If you don't like them, why would you trust their poll?
Let's depersonalize this, ok?
