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Crazy Joe is losing ground

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Crazy Joe is losing ground

Old 07-16-2020, 09:09 AM
  #1  
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Default Crazy Joe is losing ground

Uh-Oh, Joe: New Poll Shows Biden Losing Ground With Black Voters

Posted by: admin in Politics July 14, 2020In case you didnít know, Democrats put a great deal of their eggs into the Black Voter basket. Itís the basket they know Ė to a 100% certainty Ė that they can count in every single time thereís an election. Voting Democrat is more than a personal preference in the black community Ė itís practically another part of the identity. To be a black conservative is to choose the path of the unicorn, and thatís not always the easiest path to take. Democrats and black voters go together like peanut butter and jelly, even if the Democratic Party has done precious little to earn that loyalty over the last three or four decades.

But weíre not here to talk about how black people should vote, why they vote the way they do, or what the Democratic Party should be doing to earn support from African-Americans. Weíre just here to survey the electoral landscape heading into 2020. But you have to keep in mind: If Democrats Ė Joe Biden, in particular Ė were to lose their iron grip on black support, they would be finished as a national party.

So now read this, from the Washington Examiner:
A nationwide poll released on Monday indicates former Vice President Joe Biden is underperforming compared to prior Democrat nominees among black voters.

The poll, conducted by John Zogby Strategies and EMI Research Solutions, surveying 1,000 voters nationally, found only 77 percent of black voters are committed to voting for Biden in the general election. Meanwhile, according to the results, 14 percent of black voters plan to support President Donald Trump, with another nine percent still not having made up their mind.
If accurate, the numbers pose a major problem for Biden and his party moving into the general election. Most Democrat strategists point to a drop-off in black turnout between 2012 and 2016 as the primary reason for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton lost.

During that race, Clinton received 88 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls. Although impressive, the numbers were significantly lower than the 93 percent former President Barack Obama garnered on his way to reelection in 2012.
Letís put it as simply as possible: If Biden cannot improve his black numbers beyond this, he will not win the presidency. Itís not even so important whether or not black voters switch their loyalty to Trump, although that would compound the issues for Biden and put us into landslide territory. Itís enough that they are insufficiently motivated to vote for Biden. Itís enough that a small percentage of black voters stay home. That, in and of itself, would mean victory for Trump in November.

Democrats see this problem clearly; thatís why they are doing everything in their power to pander to Black Lives Matter. Unfortunately, they may learn all-too-late that wearing kente cloths and kneeling does not really address the concerns on the minds of black voters in the Midwest. These voters want results. These voters want economic plans that will bring revitalization to their communities. These voters want what everyone in America wants: A country where they have the opportunity to succeed.

Judging by these numbers, they are losing faith in the Democratic Partyís ability to provide that.
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Old 07-16-2020, 05:01 PM
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follow the money, all BLM donations after payroll goes to the Democratic Party, BLM is just a marxist arm of the DNC, why ya think white millennials are even more engrossed in the movement than the blacks.
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Old 07-18-2020, 06:03 PM
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That actually explains a lot and makes total sense.
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Old 07-19-2020, 07:59 PM
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Zogby is known to be a not too accurate poll which leans to the right. Most other polls show Trump with a much larger lead among black folks; NPR uts him at 91%.

"In the latest poll, conducted Monday through Wednesday this week, Biden has sizable leads with Black voters, people who live in big cities, women, white women with college degrees, young voters and suburban voters."

https://www.npr.org/2020/06/26/883336183/poll-trump-disapproval-hits-all-time-high-and-he-trails-biden-by-8

"
Former vice president Joe Biden currently leads Trump by a not-unexpectedly lopsided margin among black registered voters, 92 percent to 5 percent. His supporters are about evenly split on whether they are casting an affirmative or negative vote, with roughly half saying they mainly “support Biden” and the other half saying they mainly “oppose Trump.”"
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...1ff_story.html

Wishing doesn't make it so.

Last edited by Beau Ouiville; 07-19-2020 at 08:03 PM.
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Old 07-21-2020, 07:26 PM
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2016 proved there are no accurate polls.

The one metric that has been the most accurate by far in predicting presidential elections, which is primary voter turn out, shows trump in a very commanding position.

All this polling, especially generic nation wide polling, is utterly irrelevant.

The only polling that ever matters at all, is battleground states among likely voters. And even that is very iffy at times.
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Old 07-22-2020, 08:26 AM
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Originally Posted by Valorius View Post
2016 proved there are no accurate polls.
Actually, the polls were pretty accurate -- Clinton got more votes as was predicted. The final vote totals were within the major polls' degree of accuracy.


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Old 07-22-2020, 10:21 AM
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Clinton was predicted to win the presidency which thankfully didn't happen.
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Old 07-22-2020, 03:39 PM
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Even using the NPR poll, Biden is kind of on the borderline for what he needs from black voters.
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