HuntingNet.com Forums - View Single Post - Pa Antler Restrictions
View Single Post
Old 01-20-2009 | 11:58 AM
  #145  
bluebird2
Nontypical Buck
 
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 3,879
Likes: 0
Default RE: Pa Antler Restrictions

For those that still believe that the shift in sample size is responsible for the 5% statewide decrease in breeding rates ,here is an example that shows that is simply impossible. If you take 3 WMUs with a breeding rate of 96% and 200 doe sampled and 3 WMUs with an 86% breeding rate and 100 does sampled the average breeding rate for all 6 WMUs is 92%.

Now if you reduce the sample size of the first 3 WMUs to 100 does sampled and keep the same breeding rate,while keeping the sample size in the other 3 WMUs constant, but increasing the breeding rate by just 4%, the average breeding rate for all six WMUs increases to 93.9%.

Therefore, despite the shift in sample sizes it is impossible to get a 5% decrease in breeding rates unless the statewide breeding rates decreased by at least 5% in most WMUs.
bluebird2 is offline  
Reply