ORIGINAL: ddear
In 2001 the PGC said that the harvest of 283 K anterless deer and 203K buck reduced the OWDD by 8%. Therefore ,it is reasonable to conclude that the 2002 harvest of 352 K anterless deer reduced the OWDD by more than 8%. Then, since the herd had been reduced by 16% in two years, it would be logical to conclude that the anterless harvest of 323k anterless would reduce the OWDD by more than 8%. then in 2004 the anterless harvest of 284K should have reduced the smaller herd by more than 8%.
Therefore, it appears that the herd has been reduced by more than 32% since 2001, while the PGC claims it has increased.
Can any Alt supporter provide one bit of data that shows the herd has not benn reduced by more than 32%?
ddear, please tell me you didn't learn this in math class. You just can't add the percentages from each year together and say that an 8% decrease per year over 4 years reduced the herd by 32%. This isn't even in the same ball park considering you have to also take into consideration herd growth, mortality rates etc...
here's an example just to prove a point.
you have a deer herd of 100,000 and reduce it by 8% which leaves you with 92,000 deer. now if that population increases by just 10% due to fawn births it would put it at 101,200. Year two decrease of 8% would put it at 93,104 with a 10% birth rate putting it back at 102,414. Therefore after 4 years of an 8% decrease you population would be 104,887 deer. So even though it may help prove your point to just forget how math works in reality an 8% decrease when taking all the factors into consideration turns out to actually be a 4.8% increase. It's funny how numbers work when you know how to use them. By the way...an 8% decrease on a population over 4 years (without taking any other factors into consideration) would actually be a 28% decrease in case you wanted to know.
