Well I'll try, let's see, if it's the 3rd saturday in november,and it rains only in the morning,but changes to snow,and the deer are in nocturnal mode,provided they're hungry,but the moon is in it's full phase,and the tide is out in California,but the Gulf stream is close to the Eastern shore, my answer would be ......10

But that's just a guess.

I'm just saying,there is way too many variables.