Ancient Chinese Proverb say....
Have confidence-GOOD! Arrogance-NOT SO GOOD!

Murphy's cousin Melvin says...
It is better to be lucky than good.

Merlin (my old Daddy) says...
It is better to keep your mouth shut and let people think your a fool than to open your mouth and confirm their suspicions.

The older I get, the more I am out in the woods seeing how these creatures live and survive; I realize, how little I really know.