I think the problem that I am having is that I am assuming (yeah, I know what it spells) that a significant majority of the 1.5 year old bucks will not be AR legal while a significant majority of the 2.5 year old bucks would be legal.
You assumption would almost be valid if we had a 4 pt. rule statewide. But the problem with that is we wuld save around 80 +% of the 1.5's ,but we would also save 56% of the 2.5's,so harvests would crash and we would have to cut the doe herd even more.
Another fact that many AR supporters overlook is that just prior to the implementation of AR we were carrying over 80 K buck and those buck were randomly selected so more big older buck survived prior to AR, since many hunters harvested spikes and Y's. With Ar we shifted the pressure to the larger ,older buck ,so fewer will survive and the majority that do survive will be buck that weren't AR legal as 2.5 buck.