Well with close to 30 yrs experience chasing these birds I missed 3 times int he last 2 years while hunting with my daughter.
I get to dang excited! then I just blow a hole in the dirt. My 30 yr old kid on the other hand is 2 for 3. Oh and she don't get first shot this year.
She sent me a ringtone for my Iphone of a hen yelping and then shotgun blasts like 5 tto 7 in a row and then the tell Gobbling which she informed me "Hey ya missed ~ again!"
So no 1st shot for her.

Course it will be quite silent as I am using a bow with her this yr. She is back up.
And I expect for us to have the birds on the ground by 4/22 if not opening of 4/21!
JW