Well, I foolishly applied in two couties (first and second choice) that are near Sioux Falls (my home town) which has roughly 250k residents in the "metro area."

The amount of tags available for either one were a measly 50 tags, so I shot myself in the foot on that one.

Now, if I wanted to drive 5 hours to the hills, I would have had a lot better chance at securing a tag (unlimited resident tags for Black Hills turkey). But, I've got a kid on the way in the next 15 days or so... so a hunting trip was kind of out of the question.

There is a second draw for leftovers, but the counties are a bit out of range, so I basically need to wait until Fall.

Just to give you an idea of the numbers involved... in the WHOLE state of SD, there were ~7800 resident tags available for a state population of 833,000 residents. Of course, not all are Turkey hunters, but if even 1% are... then all tags should be taken.

So, 100 tags for my 250k area, means if .0004% of the population of my area applies, all tags will be gone.

That doesn't even bring landowner preference into the equation...

TL;DR -

Edit to add: If I still had a bow, I could have had a tag, as those are unlimited as well.