That is almost the same exact set up I shoot. With that being said, angle and bone come into play but I very comfortable saying that if its not a complete pass thru, 75% of the arrow will come out the other side and it should fall out when the deer runs. If your convinced you want expandables with your setup, I think Rage would give you the best penetration and odds for a pass thru. Thats just my opinion though. Those pics of the blood trail are the norm on any good hit, pass thru or not. I did make a bad hit with one and blood was horrible, the hole plugged up. I found the deer a few hours later, he only made it 100 yards but I saw the area he last was and stumbled across him so shot placement is still key. With the right angle, you'll get a hole you can almost put your fist thru