NM doesn't have preference pts, so everyone has the same odds, though outfitters have better odds, but not guaranteed tags, so one way to hedge the system is to put in for a great tag/unit in NM with an outfitter since you're not opposed to one and you'll have better odds than the general public, sometimes much better, ie 15% instead of 3% etc...

WY- you still can buy a pref.pt. so next year you could pretty much guarantee yourself a general season elk tag, though you need an outfitter to hunt wilderness areas in wy, or have a friend who lives in the state.

MT- has guaranteed licenses through outfitters.

CO- has otc tags etc.., though most other states have better trophy potential.

ID- I believe has OTC tags, and some quality elk in places. For example in WY you'd essentially need to have an outfitter to hunt the same wilderness that in ID you wouldn't need a outfitter.