HuntingNet.com Forums - View Single Post - BUTTON BUCKS
Thread: BUTTON BUCKS
View Single Post
Old 12-23-2008 | 06:51 AM
  #27  
BTBowhunter's Avatar
BTBowhunter
Giant Nontypical
 
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 7,220
Likes: 0
From: SW PA USA
Default RE: BUTTON BUCKS

ORIGINAL: 4evrhtn

You can believe that if you want. In Pa, we have by far the least accurate method for reporting kills. Fill out a card andsend it out in the mail (if you feel like it). Let's say by a miracle 100% of hunters report their kills next year... do you believe for a second the Game commission would stick with that number???? And would it show a mirrored result from the previous years or would it be lower? They want to show a higher percentage of killsto downplaytheir flawed mgmnt program. It doesn't matter what happens they will always say there are more deer than what there are and they will always claim higher success rates to combat license sales decreases. Scientific, huh? You can't apply science to man's greed. There is no way of accuratelyestimating the number of deer taken illegally nor deer taken in varied habitats across the state where hunting pressures vary. you can't say Number Y equals total deer reported and then multiply Y by .40 = Z and the add Y + Z = total deer killed. You are overestimating the PAGC's work ethic, they don't go through all the work you described. I know almost all the butchers in my area and if the WCO's come around it might be once a season. How does that give an accurate estimate of anything???
Actually, it is that easy to come up with an accurate calculated reporting rate. Statistics is actually a rather simple science.

For example, the TV networks can accurately call an election with just a few percentage points of the votes actually in. Is it exact? Never. But it'salways very darn close. Close enough that it's withi a few percentage points. No deer harvest reporting method is ever going to be perfect and I'd rather see a phone in or internet reporting system. Check stations are only slightly moreaccurtaebut they require far more money and manpower than the slight improvement in accuracy would warrant.
BTBowhunter is offline  
Reply