More senseless statistical thinking.
(Please ignore this thread if statistics makes you drowsy,or have thoughtsof mortgaging your house to play powerball, lol)
-fsh:

The structure of the contest will eventually lead to an (almost) unbeatable team.

HNIstartedthe 2006 contestwith one team (XX) with a likelybetter than average "capablity" (I use this term loosely, as it can encompass hunters, skilled or otherwise, who have the opportunity to hunt primoland andtherefore have better than "average opportunities" to harvest a buck; and there are likely other factors too besides raw hunting skill). All other teamshave membershipselected at random from the population of hunters (entrants). The most likely reasonfor Team XX to have lost this year is because it lost to a team with better "capabilities" (Team 17).You can also argue that Team XX and Team 17 are roughly equally capable, but Team XXhad aworse thanwhat is normally their "average season", while Team 17 had a better thanwhat would be normally be their "average season". The worse the true "capabilities" of Team 17 are relative to the true "capabilities" of TeamTeam XX, the more unlikely thiswould haveoccured -- however the probability of a "poor" team beating a bunch of "pros" is still not zero!, just not very likely.Team 17 now gets to pit its skill against a numberof new teams randomly selected from the population of entrants. Given that almost 3/4 of the individuals who participated in 2006contestdid not enter a deer, it will be difficult to randomly draw a team of 10 hunters from this population as capable as Team 17. If a new champ does arise, the winnowing cycle is repeated. Over time, it will be statistically increasingly difficult for anew team contructed from the random population to beat out the winner, and a dynasty will be created. (This assumes that the average hunter success rate remains constant, of course).

One solution (if you think this is a problem??)would be to let the champsrule for no more than two years, and then start every team from ground zero. Another alternativeis to shrink the size of the teams - say to5 or 6 members.
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How many more months to bow season??