Every shot has it's risks, knowing what the risk is is what makes a good shotor bad shot. Most of us know our effective range but that is not the problem. Our mind is our worst enemy, greed, poor judgement, no self control, are all the things that make a shot go south, it really has nothing to do with the distance. I would take a close shot over a far shot any day but, I can and will take a longer shot if conditions are right and they rarely are.