Anyway, I don't condone smoking on stand [:@]but I must say I believe it's the movements associated with smoking rather than the smoke itself that gets hunters busted.
I think you hit the nail on the head with that one, a lot of arm movement to smoke. I also think it depends on where your hunting, if your deep in the mountains where deer don't smell everyday "people smells" it will alarm them more. If your hunting urban areas where the deer are used to "people smells" they may not be as alarmed.
I'm a smoker but neversmoke on my way to bowhunt or while in the stand. Gun season is a different story, the few days I gun hunt each year are usually so chaoticthe deer don't have time to worry about cig smoke. With that said, this year on the day before the gun opener my buddy and I went out to do some scouting and leave our climber on the trees we were going to hunt the next day. We took our bows in the event we got done early we could climb up and get a few hours in. I found my spot and climbed up into my tree with my bow, I had my smokes with me and I wasn't on a serious bowhunting trip. So once I got settled in I lit one up, 2 secs later my cell rings, wife is calling telling me to get milk on the way home. So I'm puffing away talking on my phone when I look to my left and there is a buck standing 30 yards away. I tell wifey bye bye and put out my cig. I stood up and noticed 3 doe were coming in to the right of me tree. Long story short an hour later I was dragging out a doe and a 6pt. Crazy evening in the woods and I did everything that I would normally never do while bowhunting.
I think you can smoke in stand and be successful, but I also agree with some of the other guys who said a mature buck isn't going to put up with it. Thats why I try to stay as scent free as possible when i bowhunt.