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McCain & Obama neck and neck

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McCain & Obama neck and neck

Old 10-16-2008, 08:38 PM
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Default McCain & Obama neck and neck

The Gallup poll of likely voters shows Obama 49% and McCain 47%. This difference of 2% is within the margin of error of this poll. Thus, according to this respected poll, it is a toss up as to who will win. Of course, as far as I know, this poll is directed simply at the majority, and presidents are not determined by majorities but rather by the electoral college.

Still . . . does someone smell a rat that the mainstream media and some of Obama's cheerleaders on this forum are already calling it for Obama, as if his election is a fait accompli? Sorry, guys! It is kind of like a sporting event! Arm chair quarterbacks and pundits can predict all they want, but in the final analysis the game -- and the election! -- has to be played to determine the result. Often there are surprises -- like the NY Giants over the Patriots in the Super Bowl or the Cleveland Browns over the NY Giants 35-14 in this past Monday's football game.

It is anybody's election.
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Old 10-17-2008, 05:10 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

blacks will turn out in mass numbers to vote on skin color alone

whites won't



that is the difference in the election
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Old 10-17-2008, 05:12 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

actually, gallup has two different models, one with a 2 point spread and one with a six point spread. the former is based on a tradional presidential super-voter model, the latter based up a broader "present intention to vote" model. the true number is probably somewhere between 2 and 6. the poll does not reflect any impact by the last debate.

regardless, that poll reflects the best mccain results in several weeks. it is indeed still a ball game.
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Old 10-17-2008, 09:32 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

ORIGINAL: stealthycat II

blacks will turn out in mass numbers to vote on skin color alone

whites won't



that is the difference in the election
I don't think it will happen. Most of them won't care who wins as long as their checks come. I think the inverse will happen, I more whites will show up to vote based on skin color.
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Old 10-17-2008, 09:43 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

The Bradley effect will showup
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Old 10-17-2008, 09:47 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

ORIGINAL: stealthycat II

blacks will turn out in mass numbers to vote on skin color alone

whites won't



that is the difference in the election
The weather will have as much to do with turn out as anything up here in the cold, snowy, raciest north western PA.
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Old 10-17-2008, 09:54 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

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The Bradley effect will showup
+1 That's what I think will happen too. Right there... Right at the last second.... People will go, "Um.... No.... {Click}" ...and will hit the button for McCain.

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Old 10-17-2008, 10:00 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

1 That's what I think will happen too. Right there... Right at the last second.... People will go, "Um.... No.... {Click}" ...and will hit the button for McCain

Not to mention the fact he has a racist wife and never saw a tax hike he didn't adore
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Old 10-17-2008, 10:02 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck

What I don't understand is the poll showing Obama with a 15 point lead yesterday. I see another today on drudge of mostly democrats indicating Obama by 2%. I still think McCain will win. America can't have THAT many sheeple, can it? Spread the wealth!
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Old 10-17-2008, 10:04 AM
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Default RE: McCain & Obama neck and neck


The bradley effect will certainly play a factor. Republicans, while finding it a repugnant and unfortunate fact of life, must count on it to increase McCain's chances for success.

I do not see 'blacks' staying home this election. That voter base is too energized by the ground-breaking
presentation of a black man as a possible occupant of the white house. I don't see it as too racist in this regard anyway...the dems always got about 95% of the black vote anyway which just blows me away;
Dr.Martin Luther King was a Republican, Abraham Lincoln (of Emancipation Proclamation fame) was a Republican, the Knights of the Ku Klux Klan were constituted of southern Democrats opposed to black emancipation.... What are they thinking ? I guess parasitism transcends pride ?
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