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sea_bee77 11-19-2010 09:39 AM

late rut prediction everyones thoughts
being a bow hunter and not being able to hit the wood due to the shotgun season i spent most of the morning reading through some forums. im sure everyones aware of the predictions of this years rut being late due to the rut full moon falling on sun nov21. with it well into the rut who believes this prediction. all the forums i have read through have been the same. all the early post from mid oct most people were in agreement that they were not going to pay attention to it and that they were going to bank on it being the same as it always is form the 4 thru the 12 being the best days. then as the rut started to kick in the post changed. allot of people were starting to agree with the predictions. people that had managed property were not seeing what they normal see. allot of people were seeing the same thing bucks traveling by themselves and does still in groups. i am laid off at the moment so i have spent everyday in the woods and this is what ive noticed. i have seen a ton of bucks this year and they have been all by themselves except a couple of times. you would think that with all the bucks ive seen that you would see them with does. seems to me that they are all still seeking. i personally now believe this prediction is right. just wanted to get everyones thoughts on this and see how its going for everyone else.

bscofield 11-19-2010 09:55 AM

Sorry if it's in your post and I just mis-read it... but what exactly is the prediction? As in- what are the dates?

sea_bee77 11-19-2010 10:38 AM

sorry for the misunderstanding. Alsheimers predictions for the 2010 rut
  • A minor “sweet spot” of deer activity will occur around Oct 22, as the seeking and chasing phases of the rut will begin, but at a slower pace than usual.
  • Buck activity will really get kicked into gear around the 15th and increase steadily.
  • The major “sweet spot” and the peak of the chasing phase will occur from Nov 21 through 25.
  • Most breeding will be done in the last week of Nov and into early December.

stabnslab_WI 11-19-2010 11:54 AM

I agree that the rut isn't in full swing yet. Even though I seen two doe's get breed this year. Im still thinking it will be around thanksgiving. A lot of people think that when they see bucks chasing doe's that the rut is in full swing. Thats not the case at all. Some doe's will come into estrus after the october full moon. But the rut moon is in Nov and is based on that. And also remember that a doe will only come into heat for 24 hours.

conzilla 11-19-2010 03:40 PM

I live in southern illinois and tuesday i saw 3 bucks in a field together. I dont believe rut is in full swing yet. I have a friend who believes everything that feild and stream writes and he thinks its over lol.

WIbuckchaser 11-19-2010 04:11 PM

I think us in Wisconsin are going to see a lot of bucks chasing does. I am yet to see a buck chasing a doe this year. I do believe it is later this year.

HNI_Christine 11-19-2010 04:17 PM

Seems like the big bucks aren't into the rut quite like they should be around here as well. I've seen the dink bucks chasing but the big bucks have been alone or only half-heartedly following does.

Seeing as how I haven't had a good buck within bow range... I'm still hoping this late rut prediction holds true and I still have a chance to catch a big buck acting stupid. :D

obsessed bowhunter 11-20-2010 03:28 AM

Seems to have been right on schedule here in KY. I saw several bucks chasin in western KY. last week. Also saw a booner chasin in the campin area at

Damon 11-20-2010 07:15 AM

Originally Posted by WIbuckchaser (Post 3725367)
I think us in Wisconsin are going to see a lot of bucks chasing does. I am yet to see a buck chasing a doe this year. I do believe it is later this year.

Same here, I havent seen much, if any, sign of the rut. It is gun season here now, started today, so I am hoping for a late season buck as well. Only hope this prediction comes to fruition. G/L!

bigscott 11-20-2010 07:41 AM

i think its winding down where i am in ny .. saw alot of activity past couple weeks and nothing at all last 2 days

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