First, I wont do what you did and answer your question with a question.

I am inclined to lean toward less deer in the more traditional deer ranges (NW, NC) but about the same in the Southwest. I qualify that by saying it's based purely on personal experiences and limited anecdotal evidence.
I, like most of us, anxiously await this years harvest figures.

Now, answer my question if you will. You implied that a 300k reduction in doe tags will not significantly slow the HR rate. I contend you have nothing to back that up other than your best guess.