I'm not an expert but I was watching a show called Deer and Deer Hunting. They had an expert in deer behavior on. He wrote a book on the rut and how the moon affects it. He said that last year's rut was a uncommon trickle rut that happens from time to time so we can't go by what happend last year. He also said that this year's rut will be very good. According to him it will start just before or after the full moon on November 10. I hope he's right. I'm planning my vacation around it. Hope this helps