Still, let's look at a hypothetical situation on an average of 2.9 points. Let's say there are 100 1.5 year old bucks. A third have 2 pts, a third have 3 pts, and a third have 4 pts. This averages to 2.99 points per deer (a little higher than our true average), but I think these are reasonable assumptions. Let's assume that all the 2 pointers survive (33 deer). Let's also assume that half of our 3 pointers survive due to hunters not being sure if that third point is an inch or not (16 deer). Finally let's assume that 5% of our 4 pointers survive (2 deer). If you add it all up that's 51 deer out of 100 that would survive - or 51%. I'll take that success rate any day.
Sounds good on paper, but you're not going to kill all 100 with or without AR. I think you said(or somebody said)60% of your harvest is 1-1/2 yo bucks. That would mean out of your 100 you'd only be killing 60 to start with. I'll give you all of the spikes...none should be shot sowe have 33 saved. Now how do you figure in the rest of them?I'll admit that AR's willhelp, but I don't think it's going to be a drastic change.