I'm leery of 3rd party candidates also after Ross Perot's debacle. I agree that the Tea Party isn't necessarily strong enough yet to put up electable candidates for POTUS but think that ignores a lot of the Tea Party's strategy--Persuading fiscally conservative candidates, regardless of party, to run and govern more conservatively. In that respect, I think the Tea Party is achieving quite an effect.
As for a 3rd party candidate winning some day, I think the TP will probably help elect a center-right Republican some day who is fiscally conservative, wants to make government accountable and cost-effective and doesn't get sidetracked on social issues that are now in the purview of the SC anyway. Oddly enough, if the Democrats ever stopped tilting ultra liberal, they could use the same strategy to elect a POTUS but think their party has been permanently hijacked by ultra-libs who are not about to let the party drift back towards the center.
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