Man, that isn' t good at all. I' ve seen alot of footage from your area on the local news and on TWC. TWC actually has aired a few specials on it. This past Sunday if I' m not mistaken y' all had an unseasonably late cold front slide down and cause a crap load of severe weather up that way? Tornadoes, damaging winds and torrential rains was the main focus of concern. What part of Ohio do you live in? As of right now, it does not look like you are out of the woods quite yet. Another late season cold front will try to make it into Ohio during the Sunday/Monday time frame. Read below...........
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
402 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2003
SFC RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TRYING TO BE A BERMUDA HIGH WANNABE
WILL BEGIN TO BRING MUCH WARMER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THAT HAS
BEEN LACKING THIS SUMMER SO FAR THANKS TO PERSISTENT RIDGE IN THE W
AND TROUGH IN THE E. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND IN THE PROCESS BEGIN TO TAP THE GULF OF
MEXICO FOR MOISTURE. TODAY AND SATURDAY EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WARM
WITH INCREASING DEW POINTS.
BIG TALK OF THE DAY IS WHAT WILL THE IMPENDING COLD FRONT DO...WHERE
WILL IT END UP...AND WHAT WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT.
IN THE MEAN TIME...COLD FRONT PROGGED TO MAKE ITS PRESENCE KNOWN
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MODELS DIFFER SLIGHTLY AND MOVE THE
FRONT DOWN OVER OHIO AND PENNSYLVANIA WHERE IT BECOMES NEARLY
STATIONARY. THIS FEATURE WILL SET OFF CONVECTION WITH THE BOUNDARY
ITSELF. THEN AS FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY SOME TIME SUNDAY MORNING...
A SERIES OF POTENT UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES MOVE EAST ALONG THE
BOUNDARY.
UPPER LEVEL 300 MB JET RACES EAST ACROSS CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SUNDAY
EVENING INTO MONDAY PUTTING FORECAST AREA IN RIGHT REAR QUAD.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AND AXIS OF THETA E RIDGE OVER THE
AREA AT THE SAME TIME AS SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH COULD SET THE STAGE
FOR ACTIVE CONVECTION SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY.
UNFORTUNATELY...WITH MANY LOCATIONS IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA MAXED OUT ON FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...ANY RAIN THAT
FALLS COULD CAUSE MORE FLOODING PROBLEMS INTO THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEKEND. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY DOWN POURS WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS SITUATION AS IT
DEVELOPS.
LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST WILL SEE PERSISTENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AS DEEP DIGGING TROUGH DEVELOPS IN THE UPPER LEVEL
FLOW BY WEDNESDAY.
Sunday.........July 27th
You are already forecasted into the slight risk for severe weather on Sunday. What makes a thunderstorm severe? A thunderstorm with winds measuring 50 knots (58 mph) or greater, 3/4 inch hail or larger, or tornadoes. Severe thunderstorms may also produce torrential rain and frequent lightning.
Read below on the write up on the ' Slight Risk' area for you on this coming up Sunday.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY EXTENDING
FROM NORTHERN INDIANA TO THE DELMARVA REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.
...OH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO QUEBEC ON SUNDAY...WITH
BAND OF RELATIVELY STRONG WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS SPREADING ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND NEW ENGLAND. ETA AND GFS DIFFER
SLIGHTLY ON TIMING OF FRONT...WITH GFS SLOWER AND LIKELY MORE
CORRECT. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STRETCH FROM NORTHERN NEW YORK INTO
SOUTHERN LOWER MI BY MID AFTERNOON. AIRMASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
FRONT WILL BE MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S
AND MLCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG. FRONTAL FORCING AND UPPER
DYNAMICS SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM IL/IND EASTWARD TO THE COAST.
DESPITE LACK OF STRONG INSTABILITY...STRENGTH OF LOW/MID LEVEL WIND
FIELDS INDICATE A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS IN STRONGER CELLS.
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND INTO THE DELMARVA REGION BEFORE WEAKENING DURING THE
EVENING.
Give me a holler if you have any questions. Right now I' m in tropical weather mode so I won' t be on here much.
Attention Johnny
