I'm hearing more and more about folks going for McCain who traditionally vote as Democrats. There seems to be a lot of anger at the ultra left, Daily Kos Socialist type Dems trying to run the whole show. If this is true, PA, Ohio, VA and FL may swing full tilt to McCain. I certainly hope so. We'll see come Tuesday p.m. / Wednesday a.m.
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If you always do what you always did, you will always get what you always got.
It is a question how much sway the media holds over people's minds. I have been hearing things that the general public I'm pretty sure would not approve of and would swing them away from Obama . . . but I'm not sure the main stream media is telling this story. I'm refering to the "redistribution of wealth" stories -- Joe the Plumber, and the more recent outing of Obama's 2001 discussion on a talk show about the merits of government as a force for repairing economic wrongs.
There are all sorts of things that are starting to tighten things up. First and foremost is that the dim American electorate is beginning to come to the realization that THEY THEMSELVES are in the crosshairs of this socialist slob. The national media does not report it, but FOX news, being the #1 cable news channel in the country, is getting these stories out to people who watch. Thanks to Rush, Hannity, VanSusteren, M.Savitch, M.Levin....these people have been screaming their warnings at the tops of their lungs and maybe it will pay off. Fox is reporting that McCain can win the ELECTORAL votes, if not the popular vote which would suit me just fine. There are a number of things which remain to be seen, which are all viable issues to some extent or another:
a: race: some will just NOT vote for a black man. In this case, GOOD.
b: young and 1st time voters - these are notorious for NOT following thru on election day. Best thing can
happen that day will be a real snotty ice/rain/snow storm so all the fair-weather slobs can stay home.
c: the slow realization by 'former Obama supporters' that they WILL be affected by his plans, and that
he's a lying snake.
d: growing resentment by blue-collar and union workers regarding the savaging of 'Joe the Plumber' by
obama and his troglodytes
e: growing resentment by middle-of-the-road independents and women's groups over the savaging of
Gov.Sara Palin by the Obama campaign
f: near-panic at the prospect of widespread voter fraud (all in favor of Obama) where people vote
under assumed names, outside their district polling places, and out of state where they just don't
belong.
g: The cadre of Hitlery Klinton supporters who will NOT vote for Osama
h: the growing number of people becoming aware of the questions surrounding the the birth and
subsequent ineligibility of Osama to occupy the office he so desperately seeks.
All these things can undo this liar and election-thief. I hope it ALL comes thru. There are two HUGE
obstacles to be overcome:
1: the interminably long nattering Osama broadcast scheduled across all major networks next week in an
attempt to dominate the airwaves and get 1 last surge of public ignorance before the election
2: the complascency of those people who WOULD vote for McCain but feel it's a lost cause and will sit the
election out.
I believe #2 is the BIGGEST issue to defeat, and that's why polls are skewed, major media reports
inflated numbers in Osama's favor...the sense of defeat is being worked to the benefit of the democrats.
They want to win by default. At the very least, we should make them sit up and take notice....
We can always hope but it sounds like a done deal for the socialist. Finally a reason to be glad that I am old. I have sure seen the best of it come and go.[:'(]
McCain may win but he sure seems to be going about it in an odd way. He is spending his time in Iowa, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania where he is behind by double digits in the polls when he could be spending that time in Virginia and his neighboring state of New Mexico. McCain can absolutely not lose Virginia. If Obama wins Virgina and New Mexico he will win a majority of the electoral votes and be the next president.
All I can think of is that due to demographic changes, he sees Virginia as a lost cause. The Washington suburbs of Northern Virginia are the fastest growing area of the state and the new residents are people who do not vote for Republicans. The McCain camp may figure that the Democratic edge that now exists in Northern Virginia is to big to overcome and the voters there are not persuadable when it comes to voting for a Republican. New Mexico has also undergone big recent demographic changes to the point where there is an unpersuadable majority of Democrats. On the the other hand, there have been no significant demographic changes in Pennsylvania, new Hampshire and Iowa and those states have gone Republican in the past. Maybe McCain feels that while he may be behind in those states now, the voters there are at least persuadable to return to the Republican fold.
SP10 , dont believe the polls. If it were true that he was behind in those states by double digits, then why is Obama still campaigning there if he is ahead by double digits. Those polls are left leaning polls trying to get people to think it is over in those states and hoping to get the GOP people to stay home thinking their vote isnt going to matter anyway.
Actually, I think the polls try to be as accurate and objective as possible since it is very much in their interests to do so. These polling firms charge paying clients fortheir services andthose firmsthat are consistantly way wrongprobably would not get much repeat business. Polling isnot easy.Obtaining a sample truly representative of the actual electorate is particularly fraught with danger. This is demonstrated by the fact that of the approximately 15 major polls following the election,the margins Obama has over McCain range from as few as 3 points to as many as 14 with an average of around 6 points. It is an ominous sign for McCain thoughthat while the margins vary widely, all polls show Obama leading making it extraordinary unlikely that McCainis actually ahead.
The polls in some key states such Ohio, Florida, Iowaand Nevada actually have Obamaopening a clear, if not large in all cases,lead in each of these states that went Republican in 2004,even while the national popular vote polls indicate some tightening of the race.Since Obama maintains commanding leads in all the states won by john Kerry in 2004, even while hisoverall lead in the popular vote might be shrinking slightly, he appears to begetting closer to ammassing the 270 electoral college votes he needs to win the presidency. McCain's obsession with Pennsylvania is probably due to his calculation that if he can somehowwin its 21 electoral votes he can still win the election even if he loses traditional red states where he is currently behind like Virginia and New Mexico. Istill think Virginia is the key to the election. If Obama winsVirginia he is probably unstoppable but if McCain can win it he could still come out on top by taking all but a couple of small states that went Republican in 2004. McCain's challenge is that the explosive growth of suburban northern Virginia in recent yearsseems to have shifted the balance of power in thecommonwealth in favor of the Democratsas evidenced by recent statewide gubanatorial and U.S. Senate races which have resulted in Democratic victories in Virginia.
The tide may just be swinging
