Some people will get it their first try and continue to get it year after year. With the exception on the law that says if you get a permit you must wait another 2 years to get a permit. You can still be the subpermittie which allows you to shoot a moose. Others like me seem to find the moose permit to be a figment of the imagination.
If you can get a permit you are almost gaurnteed to fill it if you are willing to take atleast one weekend before season to scout them, as big as they are you cant really miss them to easly.